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A USDA GAIN report says Argentine farmers are shifting from cereals to soybeans because of high fertilizer prices. Soybean planted area is forecast to rise 4% to 17 million hectares, producing 51 million tonnes in 2022/23, while corn area is expected to fall.
Larger expected soybean output and crush point to more soymeal and oil supply, which is bearish for soybeans. Lower corn acreage reduces corn export availability, which supports corn prices.
ofimagazine.comQuartz Business MediaMay 13, 2022After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
