The FAPRI bulletin reports that Mexico halted feeder cattle exports to the US in 2025 due to New World Screwworm. A partial reopening is now in effect, but the future level of live cattle trade is uncertain.
Restricted Mexican feeder cattle imports tighten US feeder supplies and support feeder prices. Uncertainty over reopening keeps the supply outlook volatile.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.