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Argentina relaunched its soy dollar scheme in late November, allowing soybeans to trade at 230 pesos per dollar against an official rate of about 171. Trade under the scheme has started slowly, with 2.98mn t traded since 28 November versus 8.48mn t in the equivalent period of the September round.
Sales are expected to remain slow until the scheme ends on 31 December as farmers hold stocks to hedge peso losses.
Slow farmer selling reduces Argentine soybean and meal export availability, supporting world soy and meal prices while weak peso expectations keep farmers holding back supply.
ukragroconsult.comDec 15, 2022After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
