Argentine Economy Minister Sergio Massa announced a new preferential exchange rate program that lets crushers buy 25% of soybeans at a 785 peso financial dollar rate, with the rest at the official 350 peso rate. The blended rate averages about 440-450 pesos per dollar.
Crushing has fallen to a 15-year low, and a decree detailing the scheme was still pending.
The scheme should lift farmer sales and crushing activity, supporting soybean meal and oil output and export supply, while the blended exchange rate improves crusher margins.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.