
Dry, hot weather in Brazil has delayed soybean planting and killed about a quarter of seedlings on one Mato Grosso farm, forcing replanting. Farmers are also finding that replacement soy will be too late to allow the full planned safrinha corn crop.
Delayed soy planting and replanting shrink the window and area for second-crop corn, tightening export supply and supporting corn and soybean prices.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.