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A heatwave in the U.S. is ending with a strong front that brings heavy rain and severe storm potential, including a possible derecho over Minnesota and Iowa. Soil moisture is relatively high and conditions remain mostly favorable for corn and soybeans despite the recent heat.
Favorable crop conditions and adequate soil moisture reduce weather risk premium, which tends to pressure corn and soybean futures lower.
dtnpf.comJohn BaranickJul 28, 2025After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
