USDA data blackout fuels uncertainty ahead of upcoming crop report

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Nov 12, 2019USDA Stumbles on Release of Market-Moving Crop Report-0.5%
• Sep 29, 2020USDA’s Approach on Crop Report a ‘Head Scratcher’ | Red River Farm Network+0.3%
• Sep 30, 2019Column: Some items to keep in mind ahead of USDA's stocks, wheat report - Braun-0.9%
• Oct 1, 2021Wheat Comes Out as Winner of USDA's Sept. 30 Reports+0.7%
• Jul 13, 2025USDA rundown: Record US corn exports and US biofuel boom | Reuters+0.9%

After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Aug 11, 2020CBOT soybeans end near unchanged ahead of US crop report - Markets - Business Recorder+4.1%
• Nov 30, 2017USDA Reports Offer Early Snapshots of 2018/19 U.S. Winter Wheat Crop - U.S. Wheat Associates+1.0%
• Apr 8, 2021USDA to expand forecasts on soyoil use in biofuels in May crop report - Markets - Business Recorder+0.1%
• Dec 12, 2016Grain market steady after USDA report - Farmers Weekly-0.1%
• Aug 20, 2025Preliminary route reports from Day 3 of the Pro Farmer Crop Tour - Pro Farmer+1.6%