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Grain prices rose over the prior ten days after uncertainty over Black Sea port exports, following Russian strikes on the Ukrainian port of Reni on the Danube with 26 port facilities reportedly damaged. MATIF Sep-23 wheat then slipped back through the week to close at €251.50/t on Thursday, down €13.25/t from Monday.
Irish feed barley and wheat green prices rose about €15-17/t.
Port damage and Black Sea export risk support European and global feed grain prices, though the late-week slide in MATIF futures shows the premium is fading.
ifa.ieJul 28, 2023After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
MATIF wheat slid through the week (down €13.25/t from Monday) as the Black Sea port-attack risk premium faded, a bearish sentiment spillover to barley that fits a sharp one-day drop.
