Chicago soybean futures fell to a four-year low on August 13, 2024, on expectations of a large US harvest. USDA raised its corn production forecast while lowering its 2024-25 ending stocks estimate, and reported soybean and corn sales to China and Mexico.
Expected US supply growth pressures soybean and corn futures, while strong Gulf soybean bids and export sales provide some support for spot demand.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.