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Corn and soybean futures fell sharply on September 30 after USDA's August estimates showed record corn yield of 183.1 bushels per acre and a record 4.589 billion bushel soybean crop. December corn at $3.90 and November soybeans at $9.60 were both about 18-19% below USDA's estimated cost of production.
Large crop projections and higher ending stocks point to a lower long-term price range, lowering feed ingredient costs for buyers.
dtnpf.comTodd HultmanOct 1, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
