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Petrobras cut wholesale diesel prices by 4.6% on April 1 to about R3,550 per cubic metre. Trump's reciprocal tariffs then triggered a sell-off, with NYMEX ULSD futures falling more than 10% between April 2 and 8 to a near four-year low.
Cheaper imported diesel and falling futures are pressuring Brazilian diesel prices, which lowers freight and processing costs. Tariff-driven demand concerns also weigh on global energy prices.
energiesnet.comApr 10, 2025After 28 past bearish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -5.0% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 26 past neutral trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.4%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
NYMEX ULSD fell more than 10% between April 2 and 8 after the tariff sell-off, confirming the cause and size of the move.
