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A Reuters poll shows Asian currency bears easing as US rate cut bets firm up. Chinese consumer price inflation came in below expectations and producer price deflation persisted, pointing to weak demand in China, the largest trading partner for many emerging Asian economies.
Weak Chinese demand signals reduced import appetite for feed ingredients, a mildly bearish factor for soybeans and meal. A weaker US dollar from rate cut bets would support emerging-market currencies and could aid Asian import purchasing power.
reuters.comJohn BijuJul 11, 2024After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
