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The yuan has weakened more than 10% against the dollar since the Federal Reserve began raising rates in March 2022 and is trading close to its weakest level against the greenback since 2007. The article frames the PBOC as caught between defending the currency and supporting a struggling economy.
A persistently weak yuan raises the cost of imported feed inputs for China and can slow purchases of US and Brazilian soybeans and meal. The policy bind limits Beijing's ability to stimulate demand, a mildly bearish factor for feed commodities.
reuters.comChan Ka SingJul 9, 2024After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
