Monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, 12:00 ET. Updates US and world balance sheets and season-average price projections.
Surprises: US soybean oil price 45 ¢/lb vs prior 43 (+4.7%, bullish); US corn ending stocks 1,465 mil bu vs prior 1,540 (-4.9%, bullish); US soybean meal price 300 $/st vs prior 310 (-3.2%, bearish); US corn exports 2,550 mil bu vs prior 2,450 (+4.1%, bullish); US wheat ending stocks 846 mil bu vs prior 819 (+3.3%, bearish).
After 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,283 past report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 686 past report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.