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The yuan touched a more than two-year low against the dollar on Sept. 5, pressured by broad dollar strength and a resurgence of COVID-19 infections.
Shenzhen adopted tiered anti-virus restrictions and Chengdu extended lockdown curbs, while the PBOC set firmer-than-expected fixings.
Renewed COVID restrictions weaken Chinese economic activity and feed demand, and a weaker yuan raises the dollar cost of imports, both bearish for feed ingredient purchases.
brecorder.comReutersSep 5, 2022After 487 past bullish events of any kind, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 50 past bearish disease events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.4%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar strength and COVID resurgence pushed the yuan to a two-year low on Sept. 5, setting the extreme starting point for the sharp reversal and contributing to the volatility.
