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US diesel futures jumped 11% to $154 a barrel after Russia's diesel export ban was announced. European gasoil futures hit a record premium of $60.77 a barrel over Brent, as shortages were worsened by post-COVID demand growth and Western refinery closures.
A record European premium signals severe global distillate scarcity that will keep diesel expensive for weeks. Buyers in Europe may face tighter competition for replacement cargoes, supporting fuel costs across the feed supply chain.
reuters.comShariq KhanJul 11, 2026After 90 past bullish policy events, DIESEL moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Diesel futures jumped 11% and European gasoil hit a record premium to Brent on the Russian ban, showing tightening supply and widening cracks just before the move date.
