OPEC recommended an additional 1.5 million bpd cut in production, to be split between OPEC and non-OPEC members. The group also lowered its 2020 demand growth forecast to 0.48 million bpd.
The proposed cut is meant to offset a sharp drop in oil demand, which supports crude prices if agreed. The weaker demand outlook signals ongoing pressure on energy-linked commodities.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Pre-decision coverage of Novak's return to Vienna shows the market was exposed to the risk of talks failing, and OPEC lowered its demand growth forecast.