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Grain markets rose in the week to May 17, 2019, with corn and winter wheat making the largest gains while soybeans fell 17-18 cents on Friday. US planting lagged badly, with 30% of corn and 9% of soybeans planted by May 12 versus five-year averages of 66% and 29%.
The US also dropped steel tariffs on Mexico and Canada, and a second round of trade aid was announced.
Severe US planting delays raise the risk of lower corn output and prompt-period price support, while the trade aid and tariff changes add some support to sentiment.
realagriculture.comBrennan TurnerMay 18, 2019After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
