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Monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, 12:00 ET. Updates US and world balance sheets and season-average price projections.
Surprises: US soybean ending stocks 245 mil bu vs prior 300 (-18.3%, bullish); US soybean oil price 62 ¢/lb vs prior 60 (+3.3%, bullish); US wheat ending stocks 615 mil bu vs prior 592 (+3.9%, bearish); US wheat exports 700 mil bu vs prior 725 (-3.4%, bearish); US soybean season-avg farm price 12.7 $/bu vs prior 12.4 (+2.4%, bullish); US corn season-avg farm price 4.9 $/bu vs prior 4.8 (+2.1%, bullish); US corn ending stocks 2,202 mil bu vs prior 2,262 (-2.7%, bullish); US corn exports 2,050 mil bu vs prior 2,100 (-2.4%, bearish).
USDA WAOBAfter 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,283 past report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 686 past report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
