
Wheat futures fell about 0.8% to $423.75 a bushel as the dollar index rose to a 14-year high. Stronger-than-expected US durable goods orders, manufacturing PMI and consumer confidence data also came out ahead of the Fed minutes.
A stronger dollar makes US wheat less competitive on world markets and weighs on dollar-denominated futures. Strong US data supports the dollar further, so the pressure on wheat prices may persist.
After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.