Dollar near recent peaks as Fed looms, growth fears weigh

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Nov 1, 2025Indian Rupee Nears Record Low as Fed-Driven Strong Dollar Weighs+0.0%
• Nov 11, 2024Euro hits near 7-month low vs dollar as tariff worries weigh | Reuters+0.8%
• Sep 30, 2021Dollar near one-year high as Fed tightening in focus | Reuters+0.0%
• Jun 20, 2018Dollar hovers near 11-month high as trade concerns weigh-0.3%
• Oct 1, 2021Dollar heads for best week in months as Fed tightening looms-0.1%

After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Nov 11, 2024Euro hits near 7-month low vs dollar as tariff worries weigh | Reuters-1.2%
• Apr 27, 2022Dollar hits five-year high, growth concerns dent euro-1.2%
• Jul 5, 2022Euro slumps to two-decade low as recession fears grow-3.1%
• Jun 7, 2024Dollar Rallies and Gold Sinks as Fed Rate Cut Hopes Recede-1.2%
• Jul 5, 2022Euro slides to 20-year low against the dollar as recession fears build-3.1%