
USDA's Dairy Supply and Utilization report showed February cheese use down 0.8% year on year and nonfat dry milk at its lowest February volume since 2011. Butter use rose 10.1% and dry whey use fell 11.3%.
Exports are strong on low US prices, but the article flags tariff disputes and a weaker dollar as risks.
Weak domestic powder and cheese demand builds stocks and pressures dairy prices. Strong exports at discounted US prices support some offset, but tariffs and a softer dollar make that outlet less reliable.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.