Chinese analysts said the yuan may rise further this year on a weaker US dollar and solid Chinese economic fundamentals. The yuan had reached a two-year high the previous week, and the PBOC had changed how it sets the daily reference rate.
Expectations of a firmer yuan support Chinese purchasing power for dollar-priced feed imports. The forecast depends on continued dollar weakness.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.