
The yuan rose to a one-week high against a weaker US dollar on Thursday, with the dollar index falling to 90.311. Traders cited optimism over a large US stimulus package under President Biden and a seasonal rise in corporate yuan demand before Lunar New Year.
A weaker dollar and firmer yuan make US feed commodities cheaper for Chinese buyers, which can support demand for corn, soybeans and meal. The effect is small compared with direct trade or crop news.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.