
The yuan touched a one-and-a-half-month high against the dollar on Thursday after the Federal Reserve held rates steady and gave no forward guidance. The PBOC set its midpoint at its strongest level since February 2023.
Dollar weakness after the Fed decision is the main driver, and it can support dollar-priced grain and oilseed prices at the margin.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.