WSJ quick hits report that a weaker US dollar could push the Federal Reserve to raise rates more aggressively over time. Capital Economics expects an export-led boost to GDP and higher core inflation from the weaker greenback.
It also notes ongoing concern that financial conditions have not tightened enough.
A weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities and export demand for US feed grains. Expected Fed tightening could strengthen the dollar later, which would weigh on grain prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.