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US grain farmers are plowing under crops or leaving them piled on the ground rather than selling them, citing sharply reduced export demand from China amid the trade war. Storage costs have soared as storage capacity has been swamped.
Lost Chinese export demand and forced storage build-up point to bearish pressure on US soybean and corn prices, while the reported crop destruction signals farmer reluctance to sell at current levels.
reuters.comMark WeinraubNov 21, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
