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Monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, 12:00 ET. Updates US and world balance sheets and season-average price projections.
Surprises: US soybean ending stocks 460 mil bu vs prior 640 (-28.1%, bullish); US corn ending stocks 1,929 mil bu vs prior 2,190 (-11.9%, bullish); US soybean meal price 325 $/st vs prior 305 (+6.6%, bullish); US soybean season-avg farm price 9 $/bu vs prior 8.5 (+5.9%, bullish); US corn season-avg farm price 3.8 $/bu vs prior 3.6 (+5.6%, bullish); US corn exports 1,900 mil bu vs prior 2,050 (-7.3%, bearish); World soybean ending stocks 95.21 mmt vs prior 99.19 (-4.0%, bullish); US wheat ending stocks 1,043 mil bu vs prior 1,014 (+2.9%, bearish); US…
USDA WAOBAfter 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,283 past report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 686 past report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
