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Monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, 12:00 ET. Updates US and world balance sheets and season-average price projections.
Surprises: US corn ending stocks 1,675 mil bu vs prior 2,485 (-32.6%, bullish); US corn season-avg farm price 3.8 $/bu vs prior 3.3 (+15.2%, bullish); US soybean ending stocks 1,045 mil bu vs prior 970 (+7.7%, bearish); World corn ending stocks 290.52 mmt vs prior 314.71 (-7.7%, bullish); US wheat ending stocks 1,072 mil bu vs prior 1,141 (-6.0%, bullish); US corn exports 2,150 mil bu vs prior 2,275 (-5.5%, bearish); US soybean season-avg farm price 8.25 $/bu vs prior 8.1 (+1.9%, bullish); US soybean meal price 295 $/st vs prior 290 (+1.7%, bullish).
USDA WAOBAfter 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,283 past report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 686 past report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
