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Grain futures largely resisted the energy and financial sell-off on the Black Friday half-day session, with corn closing near the top of its three-month range. Traders reacted to fears that Omicron could prompt new lockdowns and supply chain disruptions.
The analysis notes that corn and soybean demand already trails last year's record pace and that fertilizer prices are at risk.
Slowing demand and possible renewed lockdowns could cap feed demand, while fertilizer exposure may influence 2022 acreage and input costs. Grains proved relatively resilient near term.
farmprogress.comNov 30, 2021After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 69 past disease events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 193 past bearish events of any kind, Urea moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -3.9% to +1.6%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
