
A bird flu outbreak struck a 934,600-hen egg farm in Clinton County, Illinois, but USDA data through October 23 showed national wholesale loose white Large eggs down 1 cent to 28 cents a dozen. NASS counted about 319.5 million table egg layers on October 1, up about 5% year over year.
A layer loss of roughly 0.3% of the national flock is too small to lift prices on its own, but a string of large detections during fall migration could tighten supply and raise egg-layer feed demand.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 98 past neutral disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.