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January soybeans settled up 12.75 cents at $9.88 per bushel on December 26, and January soybean meal jumped $12.80 to $305.70 per short ton. March wheat and March corn also rose.
Weather forecasts showed near-normal rain for most of Brazil but dryness in southern Brazil and Argentina.
Dryness forecasts for southern Brazil and Argentina lift expectations of tighter South American supply, which supports soybean and meal prices. The meal rally reflects that concern.
thejacobsen.comAlexandra WattsDec 26, 2024After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Documents the Dec 26 post-holiday surge in January meal (+$12.80 to $305.70) on Argentine and southern Brazil dryness, which accounts for part of the 5-day gain.
