
Brent crude fell below $50 on Thursday for the first time since March before closing at $49.10 on Friday, and WTI hit a low of $45.29 before settling at $46.22. Analysts pointed to Chinese growth worries, high inventories and fund positioning, while Saudi Arabia said Russia was ready to join OPEC in extending cuts.
Chinese liquidity tightening and concerns about its manufacturing weigh on demand for commodities, while expected OPEC and Russian cut extensions offer some support to crude prices.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.