
US crude oil futures settled below zero for the first time in history on Monday, closing at minus $37.63 a barrel. Traders paid to offload barrels amid a coronavirus-driven supply glut and full storage concerns.
A negative benchmark price signals extreme demand destruction and storage stress across energy markets. This pushes down energy costs and related biofuel and feedstock economics, with broad downward pressure on commodity prices.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.