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The article reviews the 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit guidance introduced January 10, 2025, and rapid US renewable diesel and SAF capacity growth since 2021. Imported feedstocks such as used cooking oil, inedible tallow and canola have grown for four consecutive years and are taking share from domestic soybean oil in biofuel production.
Shifts toward cheaper imported feedstocks reduce domestic soybean oil's share of biofuel demand, which limits soyoil price upside unless 45Z favors US feedstocks.
adi-analytics.comChristine HoJun 4, 2025After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
