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The euro gave back its gains after the Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged and projected only one rate cut this year, down from three. EUR/USD slid from about 1.0850 back toward 1.08, and sterling fell after the Fed decision.
The dollar rallied and USD/JPY stayed near 157.
Fewer expected Fed cuts supported the dollar and lifted U.S. yields, which pressures dollar-priced feed commodities and raises financing costs for importers. The reversal shows that the rate-cut outlook is the main driver of currency-linked price moves.
tradingview.comJun 13, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
