
The dollar clung to modest gains against the euro on Friday after US data showed consumer spending fell 0.2% in December and the PCE price index rose 0.1%. The euro traded near a nine-month high of 1.09295 touched on Monday, with traders awaiting a slew of upcoming central bank decisions.
Soft US demand and cooling inflation point to a Fed that may slow tightening, which limits dollar strength and helps keep dollar-priced commodity exports competitive.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.