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The dollar index held near a three-week high of 98.473 after better-than-forecast US economic data reduced expectations for further Fed easing. Markets priced an 87.7% chance of an October 25 basis point cut.
Stronger US data and a firmer dollar weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices. Feed buyers in importing countries may find US supplies slightly cheaper in local currency terms.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.