
The dollar strengthened after Fed Chair Powell signalled further rate increases in 2023, while the pound fell after a dovish Bank of England decision. The ECB raised its deposit rate to 2%, and the euro dropped 0.5% to $1.0612.
Expectations of higher US rates for longer strengthen the dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and make US feed exports less competitive abroad. The effect is broad but gradual.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.