
A June heatwave with triple-digit temperatures in California reduced dairy cow milk output, which can fall as much as 20% on the hottest days. Chicken producers marketed birds early and nut and citrus growers faced heat stress.
The state's drought has ended after heavy winter rains.
Heat-driven milk losses tighten dairy supply, and lighter broiler weights and crop stress add to feed and protein demand uncertainty.
After 32 past bullish weather events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.4%), and +3.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.