Loading…
Energy markets rebounded as the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively shut despite optimism about a ceasefire. ULSD futures rose about 20 cents/gallon after a record-scale drop the previous day, and Iranian drones struck a Saudi East/West pipeline.
US crude inventories rose for a seventh straight week while the SPR declined slightly.
Continued strait closure and the attack on Saudi pipeline capacity keep crude and diesel supply tight, supporting energy costs for feed milling and transport. High volatility suggests elevated price risk for buyers.
tacenergy.comApr 9, 2026After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes a record-scale one-day ULSD drop on April 8 followed by only a partial rebound, confirming the magnitude of the decline.
