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Crude oil prices jumped early in the session to multi-year highs on worries about disruption to Russian exports, which are among the largest in the world. Companies are shunning Russian energy following the invasion of Ukraine, while talks involving Iran raised hopes of additional supply.
Sanctions-driven fear of lost Russian barrels lifts crude and energy costs, which feed through to diesel, freight and fertilizer, and push up feed production costs. Hopes of Iranian supply return would partly offset that upward pressure.
reuters.comMarcy De LunaMar 3, 2022After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
