
Futures fell almost 7% in London on Wednesday as investors worried that US tariffs on Chinese goods would slow global growth and demand. The US was preparing tariffs on almost half of its imports from China.
Expected tariffs on Chinese trade threaten global demand for energy and commodities, pushing crude lower. Weaker growth expectations also tend to weigh on agricultural export prices.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Escalating US-China tariff plans fueled fears of slower global growth and weaker oil demand, adding to the sell-off.