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ECO and SCO now account for 35% of total federal premium subsidies for nine major crops in 2026, up from 4% in 2024 and 16.7% in 2025. The share is higher in the Midwest, and the increase is linked to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's higher subsidy rates.
Stronger subsidized county coverage encourages growers to keep planting and reduces downside risk, which supports sustained supply. The price impact is modest.
After 1,646 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.