WTI settled down $18.54, or 16%, at $94.41 a barrel on April 8 after a two-week ceasefire was announced over the Iran war. Brent fell 13% to $94.75, and product prices also tumbled.
Some ships reported being turned away from the Strait of Hormuz and Iran reportedly announced a $1 per barrel transit charge.
Crude and product declines reflect hopes for restored Gulf flows, but unclear passage through Hormuz leaves supply risk open. Lower diesel and crude prices would reduce transport and processing costs for feed.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 51 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.2% 至 +3.9%),20 个交易日内为 -2.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 triggered a 16% crude collapse and sharp product price declines, the main driver of the ULSD drop over the window.
WTI settled down 16% to $94.41 on April 8 after the two-week ceasefire announcement, the main driver of the 5-day decline.
WTI fell 16% on April 8 on the ceasefire and product prices tumbled, the same-day crude and product price shock behind the ULSD drop.
Reports the April 8 settlement drop in Brent and WTI on the ceasefire, confirming the move, while noting tenuous Hormuz flows that limited the decline.