
US crude futures fell nearly 12% to $83.85 a barrel and Brent lost 9% to $90.38 on Friday after Iran's foreign minister declared the Strait of Hormuz completely open during the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire. Araghchi said vessels must follow a coordinated route set by Iranian authorities.
Trump welcomed the move in a social media post.
The reopening removes a major supply disruption, so crude prices drop sharply. Lower energy costs reduce diesel and freight expenses for feed producers and may ease fertilizer prices over time.
在过去 53 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 87 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Iran declaring Hormuz open on April 17 drove Brent down about 9% in one session, the main driver of the 5-day drop through April 20 via restored supply flows.
Reports on the same-day Hormuz opening announcement detail the Brent fall to about $90 and the WTI slide, matching the move's timing and mechanism.