
Brent crude fell more than 10% to $88.8 a barrel after Iran said the Strait of Hormuz was open. The price remains well below a peak of $119 last month but well above the $72 pre-war level.
Reopening expectations cut the geopolitical premium in crude, lowering energy and transport costs. Prices still far above pre-war levels keep input costs elevated for feed producers.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Confirms Brent falling more than 10% on Apr 17 after Iran said Hormuz was open, i.e. a supply-risk premium unwinding.
Confirms Brent falling more than 10% below $90 on the Hormuz-open announcement, supporting supply-risk premium unwinding.