
Crude oil prices dropped sharply after President Trump said the US agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran proposed by Pakistan. Brent fell about 13% to around $95 and WTI fell about 14% to around $96, the largest one-day drop since the 1991 Gulf War apart from COVID.
The agreement is conditional on Iran allowing a complete reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about a fourth of seaborne oil, would restore supply and lower the risk premium in crude. Lower energy costs would ease pressure on feed production and transport expenses.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Directly describes the April 8 Brent drop of about 13% after the US-Iran two-week ceasefire announcement, which cut the geopolitical supply-risk premium.