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Economist Philip Verleger expects significant market turmoil as IMO 2020 takes effect, with diesel prices likely to rise first as distillates are diverted to marine gasoil and very low sulfur fuel oil. He expects governments may intervene to limit price increases.
A diesel price spike from IMO 2020 would raise freight and feed-delivery costs for buyers. The forecast is a single analyst's outlook and is not yet a confirmed price move.
在过去 105 次看涨的宏观事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.4% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
在过去 54 次中性的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.8% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。