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DTN analyst Todd Hultman argues that USDA projects around 955 million bushels of US soybean ending stocks for 2018-19, equal to about 23% of use and correlating with a $6 cash price. He says a possible billion bushels or more of stocks in both 2018-19 and the new crop year is the main bearish concern.
Projected record soybean surpluses point to continued pressure on soybean and meal prices, though low prices may eventually curb acreage and support the market later.
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。